On Monday, the S&P 500 sagged 0.2 per cent as shell-shocked investors watched to see what Trump will do next in his trade war. If other countries agree to trade deals, he could lower his tariffs and avoid a possible recession. But if he sticks with tariffs for the long haul, stock prices may fall further.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 349 points, or 0.9 per cent, and the Nasdaq composite edged up by 0.1per cent.
All three indexes started the day sharply lower, and the Dow plunged as many as 1,700 points following even worse losses elsewhere in the world. But it suddenly surged to a gain of nearly 900 points in the late morning. The S&P 500, meanwhile, went from a loss of 4.7 per cent to a leap of 3.4 per cent, which would have been its biggest jump in years.
The sudden rise followed a false rumor that Trump was considering a 90-day pause on his tariffs, one that a White House account on X quickly labeled as “fake news.” That a rumor could move trillions of dollars’ worth of investments shows how much investors are hoping to see signs that Trump may let up on tariffs.
Stocks quickly turned back down, and shortly afterward, Trump dug in further and said he may raise tariffs more against China after the world’s second-largest economy retaliated last week with its own set of tariffs on U.S. products.
Trump’s tariffs are an attack on the globalization that’s shaped today’s world economy and helped bring down prices but also caused manufacturing jobs to leave for other countries.
He has said he wants to bring factory jobs back to the United States, a process that could take years. Trump also says he wants to narrow trade deficits with other countries, but it’s unclear how much room for negotiation there is on the U.S. side or among its trading partners.
Indexes swung between losses and gains Monday, partly because investors are still hoping negotiations may forestall actual implementation of the stiff duties on all imports.
All that seemed certain Monday was the financial pain hammering investments around the world after Trump announced tariffs on his April 2 “Liberation Day.”
Oil has also fallen, hurt by worries that a global economy weakened by trade barriers will burn less fuel. A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude oil dipped below $60 on Monday for the first time since 2021. Early Tuesday, it was up 62 cents at $61.32 per barrel.
Brent crude, the international standard, gained 70 cents to $64.91 per barrel.
In currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose to 147.32 Japanese yen from 147.71 yen. The euro fell to $1.0983 from $1.0917.
The price of gold rose $38 to $3,011.60 an ounce.
Bitcoin gained 2.1% to $80,081.17. On Monday it sank below $79,000, down from its record above $100,000 set in January.
